Wednesday, July 12, 2017

Tuesday, July 11, 2017







4  |  Religion
5  |  Ethnicity
6  |  Immigration
10 |  Turnout
11 |  Rural Voters
13 |  Education
       Conclusion
         Titles by the author
          Copyright








Observe good faith and justice toward all nations. Cultivate peace and harmony with all.
George Washington

Nothing can stop the man with the right mental attitude from achieving his goal; nothing on earth can help the man with the wrong mental attitude.
Thomas Jefferson

If your actions inspire others to dream more, learn more, do more and become more, you are a leader.
John Quincy Adams

The best people possess a feeling for beauty, the courage to take risks, the discipline to tell the truth, the capacity for sacrifice. Ironically, their virtues make them vulnerable; they are often wounded, sometimes destroyed.                                        
Ernest Hemingway

The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane.
Marcus Aurelius









This book is for the United States of America that cannot be deprived of its fine tomorrow, and this is also for the world that refuses to be plunged into darkness.

This is more especially for Man in the post-modernist world as we try to make sense of reality not only Humans who are in sync with their surroundings but also as beings who are in acceptance of their purpose.

This is also dedicated to the people and countries in the Middle-East, Asia, and Africa that are humane and that are suffering from established dictatorships, overwhelming oppression and brutal repression, but who still view democracy, freedom, social justice, liberty, equality and progress as the tools that would prevent them from becoming dehumanized, and so are prepared to oppose their oppressors, especially in countries like Cameroon, Chad, Congo Gabon, Eritrea, Gambia, Democratic Republic of Congo and Zimbabwe.



Map of the USA
2008 Presidential Election Map
2012 Presidential Election Map





2016 Presidential Election Map
    Democratic Party
    Republican Party
    Libertarian Party
    Green Party
    Constitution Party


Summary of results of the 2004-2016 Presidential Elections:
    States carried by the Republicans in all four elections
    States carried by the Republicans in three of the four elections
    States carried by each party twice in the four elections
    States carried by the Democrats in three of the four elections
    States carried by the Democrats in all four elections












Hardly anyone will disagree with you when you tell them that the United States of America just witnessed a presidential race that would be remembered for a very long time as the most unpredictable, most abnormal and most unconventional in its recent history. The 2016 race for the White House that pitted Donald John Trump as the Republican Party front-runner against Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton of the Democratic Party produced the greatest upset in American politics. It was an electoral race where the media stood solidly behind the Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton; it was a contest where the upper echelons of the Democratic Party and most of the top brass of the Republican Party did not hide their resentment of the Republican nominee Donald Trump, thereby confirming him in the eyes of the electorate as an anti-establishment candidate that stirs trepidation in the bosoms of the political elites of the country.
Donald Trump whom the Republican Party’s elites viewed as an outsider, and who is considered a maverick by the rest of the populace because of his non-affiliation with traditional politics, won all right, and he rode to victory in a resounding manner. This political novice with  a knack for being politically incorrect by “saying things as they really are” or for being “brutally honest”,  won in a race where the machinery of the Obama administration, the repertoire of Hillary Clinton’s husband and former president William Jefferson Clinton (Bill Clinton) and his retinue  were at the full disposal of Hilary Clinton to ensure that the  election be a smooth walkover for her or a stroll into the White House that would have made her the first female president in the history of the United States of America. But as it turned out, the Democratic Party nominee failed in a resounding manner that is going to reverberate for a long time.
Yes, Donald Trump defied the odds all right. The president-elect is going to become the next president of the United States of America unless something dramatic happens. He is going to be the number one citizen of the country, much to the consternation of the political elites and financial heavyweights in the USA and the rest of the world.
The billionaire’s win defied the media forecasts or predictions as poll after poll showed him lagging behind his rival with wide margins before election day. So, it is not surprising that most Americans and the citizens of other countries of the world are wondering what factors contributed to Donald Trump’s win? In fact, most curious Americans would like to know why the different branches of the mainstream media failed so many times in their predictions? Why did pundits fail consistently in analyzing the Trump enigma? How is his win going to change America’s political landscape?
This book provides answers to the above questions, answers that lie in the ignored, downplayed and underrated aspects of the makeup of America that Donald Trump successfully tapped, so that they have become major factors that can no longer be kept under wraps. Donald Trump’s win not only elicits answers to America’s changing political landscape, but it also provides insights into the socio-cultural, political and economic transformation of America as it confronts the reality of a growing multi-polar world. In fact, the issues raised by the victory of this maverick and political novice will henceforth become fundamental factors in deciding future presidential races because no politician would be able to ignore them again and expect to win a Presidential Election.






The Clinton campaign should have heeded the alarm bells set off by the piece 5 Reasons Why Trump Will Win, written before the elections by  the famous American documentary filmmaker and author Michael Francis Moore who rose to fame from his 2002 book “Stupid White Men...and Other Sorry Excuses for the State of the Nation!” and from his 2004 documentary film “Fahrenheit 9/11” that talked about  the 43rd US. President George W. Bush, and the War on Terror. After all, he is a left-wing liberal.  Even the other insightful piece BROKEN ENGAGEMENT: Why a Donald Trump Win in the 2016 Presidential Election Defies the Predictions of the Media and the Political establishment, should have been taken seriously as the final warning cry coming on the heels of a series of earlier pronouncements about the reasons why the Republican Presidential nominee Donald John Trump stood to win the 2016 race for the White House against Hillary Rodham Clinton of the Democratic Party.
Apparently, the anti-Trump campaign was oblivious of the warnings from these two unrelated pieces, which were certainly a few of the many similar predictions out there defying the popular forecasts from the mainstream media and polling agencies showing Hillary Clinton as the candidate ahead in the polls and as the front-runner expected to win the 2016 race for the White House. But the results below show that it was not the case. The Republican Party nominee pulled off a dramatic upset over her Democratic Party rival in what many pundits, newsmen, newswomen, scholars, and pollsters consider to be the biggest electoral surprise in the history of Presidential Elections in the USA.

Results of the 2016 Presidential Election
Presidential candidate
Party
Popular Vote
Electoral
vote
Count
Percentage
62,853,327
46.09%
306
65,515,369
48.05%
232
4,478,969
3.28%
0
1,450,670
1.06%
0
656,095
0.48%
0
199,895
0.15%
0
Other
1,205,061
0.88%
Total
136,359,386
100%
538
Needed to win
270


Months before the election and even right up to election day itself, Hillary Clinton led in almost every national poll in Florida, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. Yet, she ended up losing those states. In fact, the average absolute difference between polling average and final vote in the 10 states closest to the national average revealed that her poll results were off the final result by 3.9 points, the highest in any election since 1988. This is compared to 2.3 points in 2012, 1.7 points in 2008 and 2004, 1.9 points in 2000, 2.3 points in 1996, 3.4 points in 1992 and 1988.
Most Americans and the overwhelming majority of the citizens of other countries of the world are still reeling from the unexpected results, which hardly anyone would disagree turned out to be the most unpredictable, most abnormal and most unconventional race for the White House in the recent history of the United States of America.
No one can pretend that the shock victory of the Republican Party nominee, businessman and reality television star from New York Donald John Trump over Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton of the Democratic Party has not turned the evolutionary nature of American politics upside down. In fact, it has ushered into office a novice with no past political experience, with no clearly defined political ideology and with a history of unfriendly or hostile relations with most of the elites of both the Republican Party on whose ticket he rode to victory, and the Democratic Party that people still remember he was formerly a member of.
This most unconventional election in American history that defied the predictions of most political pundits, the mainstream the media and the general conventions, and then ended up bringing to power a maverick with a populist streak, will be remembered for generations as a "Go to Hell” expression from mostly White Americans, especially white men. It is a rebuff of the elites of both the Republican and Democratic parties who thrive in alliance with the giant corporations, the corporate or mainstream media, and the financial institutions (Wall Street, the banks, the insurance companies and the Credit companies). And strangely enough, Donald Trump, the poster child of this blunt rejection of the political establishment, happens to be a renegade child of the political establishment, which he worked with to build his business empire, and on which he created the base that he launched his political bid for the White House from. But then, he turned around and confronted them. 
This renegade of the political establishment may be considered a peculiar president-elect whose vague agenda to turn the political establishment upside down and  whose pledge  to “Make America Great Again”,  smacks of Anarchism  than  conservatism or  any of the other shades of Right-wing Republican ideology around which clear programs have been hatched in the past to right the short-comings of the American system, a setup that for centuries proved to be the most progressive socio-economic/political system the world has ever seen, a system that has been the standard bearer of the free world, a system that stands to retain its emulative role if properly harnessed and revamped.

·         How did Donald Trump, considered a political outsider by everyone, capture a political party whose leadership shunned him, and then lead it to win the White House in a race that was apparently unwinnable for him and the Republican Party whose ticket he was riding on?
·         How come a maverick known for his non-affiliation with traditional politics, a maverick who is considered a political novice by most pundits and who has a knack for being politically incorrect by “saying things the way they really are”, or the way he feels they are; how come this outsider who many people viewed as someone with a knack for being “brutally honest” managed to hold a great country like America in suspense, and then  turned things around and won the race for the White House against all the odds?
Yes, the odds were stacked against Donald Trump, yet he prevailed. And he triumphed in a brilliant manner.
Stacked against the Republican candidate in the 2016 Presidential Election were:
·         the no-nonsense Obama administration and its political machinery that won the 2008 and 2012 Presidential Elections with wide margins,
·         the all-powerful mainstream media,
·         an opponent with a formidable alliance centered around the administration of Hillary Clinton’s husband—the former president William Jefferson Clinton (Bill Clinton) and his retinue, all at the service of the Democratic candidate,
·         the divided ranks of the upper echelons of the Republican Party, where most of the party’s elites vehemently opposed the Republican nominee,
·         what some viewed as a corporatocracy that did not consider the Republican nominee and billionaire as one of their own,
·         a Wall Street and big financial institutions who were not enamored of him and whom he snubbed by not seeking their financial contributions to fund his election campaign,
·         Hillary Clinton running as the first female presidential candidate in the history of the United States of America, hence a source of attraction for voters with a desire to make history with their votes.
So, why then did  the election end up not being the walkover  that so many pundits and even the common folk had predicted, and that  the Democratic Party had promised; why then did the election fail to be the thrashing of Donald Trump that was supposed to silence the Republican candidate forever; why then was the election not an easy victory for Hillary Clinton, a stroll into the White House that would have made her the first female president in the history of the United States of America, and the first person in the country’s history to hold the positions of president after making a name for herself in previous positions as the country’s First Lady, as a senator and as America’s secretary of state?
The answers were predictable to those with curious and analytical minds.

2016 Presidential Election Results by States
States won by Clinton/Kaine
States won by Trump/Pence
Electoral methods
·         WTA – Winner-takes-all
·         CD – Congressional district

Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
State or
district
Electoral
method
#
 %
Electoral
votes
#
 %
Electoral
votes
WTA
729,547
34.36
1,318,255
62.08
9
WTA
116,454
36.55
163,387
51.28
3
WTA
1,161,167
45.13
1,252,401
48.67
11
WTA
380,494
33.65
684,872
60.57
6
WTA
8,696,374
62.28
55
4,452,094
31.88
WTA
1,338,870
48.16
9
1,202,484
43.25
WTA
897,572
54.57
7
673,215
40.93
WTA
235,603
53.35
3
185,127
41.92
WTA
282,830
90.48
3
12,723
4.07
WTA
4,504,975
47.82
4,617,886
49.02
29
WTA
1,877,963
45.89
2,089,104
51.05
16
WTA
266,891
60.98
4
128,847
29.44
WTA
189,765
27.49
409,055
59.26
4
WTA
3,090,729
55.83
20
2,146,015
38.76
WTA
1,039,126
37.91
1,557,286
56.82
11
WTA
653,669
41.74
800,983
51.15
6
WTA
427,005
36.05
671,018
56.65
6
WTA
628,854
32.68
1,202,971
62.52
8
WTA
780,154
38.45
1,178,638
58.09
8
Maine (at-large)
CD[b]
352,156
47.84
2
332,418
45.16
CD[b]
210,921
53.95
1
154,173
39.43
CD[b]
143,952
41.06
180,665
51.53
1
WTA
1,677,928
60.33
10
943,169
33.91
WTA
1,995,196
60.01
11
1,090,893
32.81
WTA
2,268,839
47.27
2,279,543
47.50
16
WTA
1,367,716
46.44
10
1,322,951
44.92
WTA
462,127
39.74
678,284
58.32
6
WTA
1,054,889
37.84
1,585,753
56.88
10
WTA
177,709
35.75
279,240
56.17
3
Nebraska (at-lrg)
CD
284,494
33.70
495,961
58.75
2
CD
100,126
35.46
158,626
56.18
1
CD
131,030
44.92
137,564
47.16
1
CD
53,290
19.73
199,657
73.92
1
WTA
539,260
47.92
6
512,058
45.50
WTA
348,526
46.98
4
345,790
46.61
WTA
2,148,278
54.99
14
1,601,933
41.00
WTA
385,234
48.26
5
319,666
40.04
WTA
4,441,437
59.06
29
2,738,645
36.41
WTA
2,189,350
46.17
2,362,697
49.83
15
WTA
93,758
27.23
216,794
62.96
3
WTA
2,394,164
43.56
2,841,005
51.69
18
WTA
420,375
28.93
949,136
65.32
7
WTA
1,002,106
50.07
7
782,403
39.09
WTA
2,926,457
48.02
2,970,764
48.75
20
WTA
227,062
53.83
4
166,454
39.46
WTA
855,373
40.67
1,155,389
54.94
9
WTA
117,442
31.74
227,701
61.53
3
WTA
868,853
34.90
1,519,926
61.06
11
WTA
3,877,868
43.24
4,685,047
52.23
38
WTA
310,674
27.46
515,211
45.54
6
WTA
178,573
55.72
3
95,369
29.76
WTA
1,981,473
49.75
13
1,769,443
44.43
WTA
1,742,718
54.3
12
1,221,747
38.07
WTA
188,794
26.48
489,371
68.63
5
WTA
1,382,536
46.45
1,405,284
47.22
10
WTA
55,973
21.63
174,419
67.40
3
U.S. Total
65,758,070
48.07
232
62,916,237
45.99
306

Donald Trump defied the odds all right, won a resounding victory in the 2016 Presidential Election by garnering 306 Electoral votes against Hillary Clinton’s 232, much to the consternation of the political elites and financial heavyweights in the USA and the rest of the world, even though he lost by a margin of close to 3 million votes to Hillary Clinton. In fact, he lost the Popular Vote to the Democratic nominee by 62,958,481 to 65,818,412 (i.e. 46.00% to 48.10%).  He did so through a brilliant strategy that tapped the realities of the day. His campaigned focused more on where the votes mattered in a country where the winner of the highest number of Electoral votes wins the Presidential Election. He did so by not overstretching himself and by employing a deceptive campaign strategy that led his opponents to be wrong in their guess about him all the time.
Why Donald Trump’s opponents failed to smell a rat; why they failed to see that there was something unusual in this campaign when forecasts or predictions fell short one after the other, it is difficult to explain. After all, the Republican Party’s presidential candidate speedily bounced back from one self-inflicting wound after the other or from setback to setback, even after polls showed him lagging behind his Democratic Party rival with wide margins. Even no nonsense analysts were seen coming back shortly after the presentations of their damming reports, with new pronouncements stating that Donald Trump caught up again with Hillary Clinton. They even came back declaring that the Republican nominee was leading in some cases. They did so as if dragging their feet or as if feeling uneasy about admitting to the fact that there was a turn-around in events.  And they did so in a partisan manner because it was blatant to most of those following the campaign developments that the mainstream media and pollsters did not want Donald Trump to win. However, even right up to the last day, most polls showed Hillary Clinton leading her Republican counterpart. In short, the anomalies seen in the reporting during the Trump-Clinton race led to these unavoidable questions:

·         Why was the media found wanting so many times in their predictions?
·         Why did pundits fail consistently in analyzing the Trump enigma in a race that everyone agreed had the potential of causing an earthquake in the political setup of America?

We find the answers to the above questions in the ignored, downplayed and underrated aspects of the makeup of America that Donald Trump did a formidable job of tapping, so that not only did they become major and decisive factors in the 2016 Presidential Election, they would forever be recognized in future electoral races as major resources to tap in order to determine the person that would lead the world’s last superpower. These factors have been mushrooming or growing rapidly over the past thirty years under different administrations (Republican and Democratic). The mainstream media, the political establishment, the corporations and the financial institutions wanted to keep these factors under wraps, but Donald Trump’s victory has brought them to the surface so that they have become fundamental issues that no future presidential aspirant would be able to ignore in the race for the White House.















Table of Presidential Elections by states since 1988
     Republican win over 5%      Republican win under 5% 
     Democratic win over 5%      Democratic win under 5% 
     Electoral college winner

Year
National 
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Bush
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Bush
Clinton
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Clinton
Dole
Bush
Bush
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Obama
Obama
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
Obama
Romney
Trump
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Bush
Obama
Obama
Trump
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Maine
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Gore (ME-02)
Trump (ME-02)
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Trump
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry[33]
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Obama (NE-02)
Trump (NE-02)
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Bush
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Bush
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
Obama
Romney
Trump
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Obama
Obama
Trump
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Trump
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Bush
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Clinton
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump
Dukakis
Clinton
Clinton
Gore
Kerry
Obama
Obama
Trump
Bush
Bush
Dole
Bush
Bush
McCain
Romney
Trump


This account is not only an examination of the factors or game changers that enabled Donald Trump to win the 2016 Presidential Election, but it is also the careful construction of an idea of how America can avoid the divisive politics haunting the country in the bid to find a balance between the different interest groups in the American society.