Wednesday, December 18, 2019

THE SALAMANDER( Donald Trump and his Survival)---Excerpt of the book "Verdicts and Holes"






“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”
Albert Einstein

"The best thing to give to your enemy is forgiveness; to an opponent, tolerance; to a friend, your heart; to your child, a good example; to a father, deference; to your mother, conduct that will make her proud of you; to yourself, respect; to all others, charity."
Benjamin Franklin

“The enemy is not the one who is facing you with a sword in hand, that's the opponent. The enemy is the one behind you with a knife at your back.”
Thomas Sankara



People, and more especially the category of Americans whose loyalty to anyone or to any entity hinges on the personal benefits they derive from having a relationship with that person or body, have a hard time understanding the nature of Donald Trump’s support base. The disconnect can be traced way back, even before the start of his presidency, when many pundits and analysts of different shades first tried to elaborate on the rationale for the 35 percent solid support that the president had been commanding among the electorate since his election into the Oval Office, as if everything depends on empirical formulas. However, the past two and a half years have exposed several flaws in the analyses postulated by some of these gurus or savants on the nature of Donald Trump’s core supporters.


How does one then explain the fact that the Republican Party which traditionally catered for the interest of the wealthy class and which drew much of its support from the country’s deeply religious, is having a billionaire Republican in the White House who nevertheless commands the support of a medley range of Americans that Hillary Clinton described as a “Basket of Deplorables”, the majority of whom are economically underprivileged, yet constitute the group that has the highest percentage of his core supporters?


The fact that this category of Americans rose from 35 percent in early 2017 to 36 percent in April 2019, with the increase coming from all the racial groups in the country, presents an intriguing angle for any gung-ho analysts.


We don’t have to think deeply or look far to figure out why many people find that increase among Donald Trump’s core supporters intriguing. The anticipation that accompanied the 2018-2019 shutdown when most of his opponents and even some of those who were not really against him thought that the standoff between Republicans and Democrats in Congress over funding for the president’s proposed border wall would shrink the size of his core supporters, was grounded on solid analysis. However, the opposition’s expectations of political gains from that hiccup turned out to be a pyrrhic victory only. All the different polls taken since January 2019 show a consistent drop in the percentage of Americans who disapprove of Donald Trump’s presidency, a decline that has been steady to the point where the president’s core support base has risen to 36 percent of adult Americans.


Trump Administration’s 2019 Approval Rating

Company/Monthly Percentages
January 2019
February 2019
March 2019
April 2019
May 2019

Ipsos (for Reuters)

39%
41%
42%
39%
39%
YouGov (for The Economist)

37%
40%
43%
42%
42%
Investor's Business Daily

42%
39%
41%
41%
43%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal

43%
46%
53%

46%
Gallup

37%
43%
39%
46%



There are certain things, certain people and certain situations that the well-informed mind has a hard time fathoming. Donald Trump happens to be one of them. So much dirt has been flung at him that his approval ratings should have plummeted to the point where we should be expecting him to suffer a humiliating loss in the 2020 presidential election with a lower percentage or vote count than even Jimmy Carter, who as an incumbent, lost the 1984 Presidential Election by 41% (35,480,115) to Ronald Reagan’s 50.7% (43,903,230). It is as if the American people, or more specifically Donald Trump’s core supporters, have come to the conclusion that American politics, like that of many other countries dominated by powerful interest groups, is replete with intrigues, conspiracies, make-beliefs, and secret plans; it is as if they are seeing something of Machiavelli in those opposing the 45th president and so are reacting to it instinctively and calculatingly by distrusting the mainstream media that harps on allegations, many of which are baseless, that the president colluded with Russia, obstructed justice, etc.


Donald Trump’s core supporters distrust the bureaucracy made up of cabinet departments, government corporations, independent agencies, and regulatory commissions; they wonder about the bureaucracy that sees the United States of America as the world’s only military, economic and diplomatic superpower and seems determined to do whatever it takes to continue leading the world. The corporate media and the bureaucracy have become less attractive to the majority of these Trump core supporters since he started regulating American affairs from the Oval Office.


It would be wrong to say that there is no truth in all the accusations that have been made against the 45th US. president, or that he does not deserve all the dirt that has been thrown at him. The United States of America’s first gentleman has an abrasive personality among other things, which is why it would surprise nobody that he has irked some of the people he crossed paths with. And based on a scorecard of scandals and allegations against him, it is easy to conclude that he is attracted to actions that many consider morally wrong and borderline legal, while having strong immunity against them at the same time. I say so because Donald Trump has put up an ambivalent defense to the accusations heaped on him by his opponents calling to question his pledge to “Drain the Swamp” in Washington DC, yet he seems unscathed by these charges or claims.


By Janvier T. Chando, author of  "FALLEN HEROES: African Leaders Whose Assassinations Disarrayed the Continent and Benefitted Foreign Interests"



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