Friday, February 19, 2016

Russia's Demographic Revival (Increasing Fertility Rate, Increasing Birth Rate and Declining Death Rate): Population Growth

2009 was the year Russia experienced its first population growth since the collapse of the Soviet Union (USSR) in 1991. However, it was a population  growth fueled by a net positive migration over a net negative natural growth rate ( number of births was lower than number of deaths). So when  the birthrate and the death rate evened out in 2012, it was a milestone. But when the birth rate surpassed the death rate in 2013, a trend that has persisted since then, making Russia one of the few countries in Europe experiencing a  natural population growth, which boosted by immigration, makes it one of the fastest growing populations in Europe, it said a lot about  Russia's achievements  in its battle against  population decline. Hence Russia bucks the trend of declining fertility rates in Europe.


After WWII


[49][50] [51] [52][53][54]
Total population
Live births
Deaths
Natural change
Crude birth rate (per 1,000)
Crude death rate (per 1,000)
Natural change (per 1,000)
Fertility rates
Urban fertility
Rural fertility
Life Expectancy (male)
Life Expectancy (female)
Life Expectancy (total)
Abortions reported
1946
98,028,000
2,546,000
1,210,000
1,336,000
26.0
12.3
13.6
2.806
46.6
55.3
1947
98,834,000
2,715,000
1,680,000
1,035,000
27.5
17.0
10.5
2.938
39.9
49.8
1948
99,706,000
2,516,000
1,310,000
1,206,000
25.2
13.1
12.1
2.604
47.0
56.0
1949
101,160,000
3,089,000
1,187,000
1,902,000
30.5
11.7
18.8
3.205
51.0
59.8
1950
102,833,000
2,859,000
1,180,000
1,679,000
27.8
11.5
16.7
2.889
52.3
61.0
1951
104,439,000
2,938,000
1,210,000
1,728,000
28.1
11.6
17.0
2.918
52.3
60.6
1952
106,164,000
2,928,000
1,138,000
1,790,000
27.6
10.7
17.0
2.871
54.6
62.9
1953
107,828,000
2,822,000
1,118,000
1,704,000
26.2
10.4
15.7
2.733
55.5
63.9
1954
109,643,000
3,048,000
1,133,000
1,915,000
27.8
10.3
17.6
2.970
55.9
64.1
1955
111,572,000
2,942,000
1,037,000
1,905,000
26.4
9.3
17.2
2.818
58.3
66.6
1956
113,327,000
2,827,000
956,000
1,871,000
24.9
8.4
16.8
2.731
60.1
68.8
1957
115,035,000
2,880,000
1,017,000
1,863,000
25.0
8.8
16.7
2.750
59.7
68.4
3,407,398
1958
116,749,000
2,861,000
931,000
1,930,000
24.5
8.0
17.0
2.689
61.8
70.4
3,939,362
1959
118,307,000
2,796,228
920,225
1,876,003
23.6
7.8
15.9
2.58
2.03
3.34
62.84
71.14
67.65
4,174,111
1960
119,906,000
2,782,353
886,090
1,896,263
23.2
7.4
15.8
2.56
2.06
3.26
63.67
72.31
68.67
4,373,042
1961
121,586,000
2,662,135
901,637
1,760,498
21.9
7.4
14.5
2.47
2.04
3.08
63.91
72.63
68.92
4,759,040
1962
123,128,000
2,482,539
949,648
1,532,891
20.2
7.7
12.4
2.36
1.98
2.92
63.67
72.27
68.58
4,925,124
1963
124,514,000
2,331,505
932,055
1,399,450
18.7
7.5
11.2
2.31
1.93
2.87
64.12
72.78
69.05
5,134,100
1964
125,744,000
2,121,994
901,751
1,220,243
16.9
7.2
9.7
2.19
1.88
2.66
64.89
73.58
69.85
5,376,200
1965
126,749,000
1,990,520
958,789
1,031,731
15.7
7.6
8.1
2.14
1.82
2.58
64.37
73.33
69.44
5,463,300
1966
127,608,000
1,957,763
974,299
983,464
15.3
7.6
7.7
2.13
1.85
2.58
64.29
73.55
69.51
5,322,500
1967
128,361,000
1,851,041
1,017,034
834,007
14.4
7.9
6.5
2.03
1.79
2.46
64.02
73.43
69.30
5,005,000
1968
129,037,000
1,816,509
1,040,096
776,413
14.1
8.1
6.0
1.98
1.75
2.44
63.73
73.56
69.26
4,872,900
1969
129,660,000
1,847,592
1,106,640
740,952
14.2
8.5
5.7
1.99
1.78
2.44
63.07
73.29
68.74
4,751,100
1970
130,252,000
1,903,713
1,131,183
772,530
14.6
8.7
5.9
2.00
1.77
2.52
63.07
73.44
68.86
4,837,700
1971
130,934,000
1,974,637
1,143,359
831,278
15.1
8.7
6.3
2.02
1.80
2.60
63.24
73.77
69.12
4,838,749
1972
131,687,000
2,014,638
1,181,802
832,836
15.3
9.0
6.3
2.03
1.81
2.59
63.24
73.62
69.02
4,765,900
1973
132,434,000
1,994,621
1,214,204
780,417
15.1
9.2
5.9
1.96
1.75
2.55
63.28
73.56
69.00
4,747,037
1974
133,217,000
2,079,812
1,222,495
857,317
15.6
9.2
6.4
2.00
1.78
2.63
63.12
73.77
68.99
4,674,050
1975
134,092,000
2,106,147
1,309,710
796,437
15.7
9.8
5.9
1.97
1.76
2.64
62.48
73.23
68.35
4,670,700
1976
135,026,000
2,146,711
1,352,950
793,761
15.9
10.0
5.9
1.96
1.74
2.62
62.19
73.04
68.10
4,757,055
1977
135,979,000
2,156,724
1,387,986
768,738
15.9
10.2
5.7
1.92
1.72
2.58
61.82
73.19
67.97
4,686,063
1978
136,922,000
2,179,030
1,417,377
761,653
15.9
10.4
5.6
1.90
1.70
2.55
61.83
73.23
68.01
4,656,057
1979
137,758,000
2,178,542
1,490,057
688,485
15.8
10.8
5.0
1.87
1.67
2.54
61.49
73.02
67.73
4,544,040
1980
138,483,000
2,202,779
1,525,755
677,024
15.9
11.0
4.9
1.87
1.68
2.51
61.38
72.96
67.70
4,506,249
1981
139,221,000
2,236,608
1,524,286
712,322
16.1
10.9
5.1
1.88
1.69
2.55
61.61
73.18
67.92
4,400,676
1982
140,067,000
2,328,044
1,504,200
823,844
16.6
10.7
5.9
1.96
1.76
2.63
62.24
73.64
68.38
4,462,825
1983
141,056,000
2,478,322
1,563,995
914,327
17.6
11.1
6.5
2.11
1.89
2.76
62.15
73.41
68.15
4,317,729
1984
142,061,000
2,409,614
1,650,866
758,748
17.0
11.6
5.3
2.06
1.86
2.69
61.71
72.96
67.67
4,361,959
1985
143,033,000
2,375,147
1,625,266
749,881
16.6
11.4
5.2
2.05
1.87
2.68
62.72
73.23
68.33
4,552,443
1986
144,156,000
2,485,915
1,497,975
987,940
17.2
10.4
6.9
2.18
1.98
2.83
64.77
74.22
69.95
4,579,400
1987
145,386,000
2,499,974
1,531,585
968,389
17.2
10.5
6.7
2.219
1.974
3.187
64.83
74.26
69.96
4,385,627
1988
146,505,000
2,348,494
1,569,112
779,382
16.0
10.7
5.3
2.130
1.896
3.057
64.61
74.25
69.81
4,608,953
1989
147,342,000
2,160,559
1,583,743
576,816
14.7
10.7
3.9
2.007
1.826
2.630
64.20
74.50
69.73
4,427,713
1990
147,969,000
1,988,858
1,655,993
332,865
13.4
11.2
2.3
1.892
1.698
2.600
63.76
74.32
69.36
4,103,425
1991
148,394,000
1,794,626
1,690,657
103,969
12.1
11.4
0.7
1.732
1.531
2.447
63.41
74.23
69.11
3,608,421
1992
148,538,000
1,587,644
1,807,441
-219,797
10.7
12.2
-1.5
1.547
1.351
2.219
61.96
73.71
67.98
3,436,695
1993
148,459,000
1,378,983
2,129,339
-750,356
9.3
14.3
-5.1
1.360
1.195
1.913
58.80
71.85
65.24
3,243,957
1994
148,408,000
1,408,159
2,301,366
-893,207
9.5
15.5
-6.0
1.385
1.234
1.884
57.38
71.07
63.93
3,060,237
1995
148,376,000
1,363,806
2,203,811
-840,005
9.2
14.9
-5.7
1.337
1.193
1.813
58.11
71.60
64.62
2,766,362
1996
148,160,000
1,304,638
2,082,249
-777,611
8.8
14.1
-5.2
1.270
1.140
1.705
59.61
72.41
65.89
2,652,038
1997
147,915,000
1,259,943
2,015,779
-755,836
8.5
13.6
-5.1
1.218
1.097
1.624
60.84
72.85
66.79
2,498,716
1998
147,671,000
1,283,292
1,988,744
-705,452
8.7
13.5
-4.8
1.232
1.109
1.643
61.19
73.12
67.14
2,346,138
1999
147,215,000
1,214,689
2,144,316
-929,627
8.3
14.6
-6.3
1.171
1.045
1.534
59.86
72.42
65.99
2,181,153
2000
146,597,000
1,266,800
2,225,332
-958,532
8.6
15.2
-6.5
1.195
1.089
1.554
58.99
72.25
65.38
2,138,800
2001
145,976,000
1,311,604
2,254,856
-943,252
9.0
15.4
-6.5
1.223
1.124
1.564
58.88
72.16
65.30
2,114,700
2002
145,306,496
1,396,967
2,332,272
-935,305
9.6
16.1
-6.4
1.286
1.189
1.633
58.68
71.90
64.95
1,944,481
2003
144,648,624
1,477,301
2,365,826
-888,525
10.2
16.4
-6.1
1.320
1.223
1.666
58.53
71.85
64.84
1,864,647
2004
144,067,312
1,502,477
2,295,402
-792,925
10.4
15.9
-5.5
1.344
1.253
1.654
58.91
72.36
65.31
1,797,567
2005
143,518,816
1,457,376
2,303,935
-846,559
10.2
16.1
-5.9
1.294
1.207
1.576
58.92
72.47
65.37
1,732,300
2006
143,049,632
1,479,637
2,166,703
-687,066
10.3
15.1
-4.8
1.305
1.210
1.601
60.43
73.34
66.69
1,582,400
2007
142,805,120
1,610,122
2,080,445
-470,323
11.3
14.6
-3.3
1.416
1.294
1.798
61.46
74.02
67.61
1,479,000
2008
142,742,368
1,713,947
2,075,954
-362,007
12.0
14.5
-2.6
1.502
1.372
1.912
61.92
74.28
67.99
1,385,600
2009
142,785,344
1,761,687
2,010,543
-248,856
12.3
14.1
-1.8
1.542
1.415
1.941
62.87
74.79
68.78
1,292,400
2010
142,849,472
1,788,948
2,028,516
-239,568
12.5
14.2
-1.7
1.567
1.439
1.983
63.09
74.88
68.94
1,186,100
2011
142,960,908
1,796,629
1,925,720
-129,091
12.6
13.5
-0.9
1.582
1.442
2.056
64.04
75.61
69.83
1,124,900
2012
143,201,700
1,902,084
1,906,335
-4,251
13.3
13.3
0.0
1.691
1.541
2.215
64.56
75.86
70.24
1,063,982
2013
143,506,995
1,895,822
1,871,809
24,013
13.2
13.0
0.2
1.707
1.551
2.264
65.14
76.31
70.77
1,012,399
2014
146,090,613
1,947,301
1,913,613
33,688
13.3
13.1
0.2
1.750
1.588
2.318
65.29
76.49
70.93
929,963
2015
146,400,000
1,944,136
1,911,413
32,723
13.3
13.1
0.2
1.784
65.81
76.61
71.22


(e)- All values in year 2015 are estimated.[55]



At the moment in Europe, only France (2.01), Ireland (1.94), Iceland (1.93), Sweden (1.88) and UK (1.81) surpass Russia (1.78) in terms of fertility rate. And based on the current trajectory, Russia would have the highest fertility rate in Europe by 2030. In terms of birthrate, Russia (13.3/100 births) comes second to Ireland (14.4/1000 births) in 2015.















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2 comments:

  1. UnknownAugust 25, 2016 at 4:33 AM

    I've been following this and am in agreement. I like to post this information on my blog with a link back if you are okay with it.

    ReplyDelete

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