Friday, June 12, 2015

The Long Term Economic Prospects of the former Communist Countries of Eastern Europe







Country (or territory)
&
Population in Millions
      2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2050
 Albania (3.20)
12,405
18,740
22,717
27,267
32,403
38,123
50,601
 Armenia (2.98)
9,301
10,561
12,950
15,721
18,897
22,488
30,538
 Azerbaijan (9.63)
62,199
84,470
105,455
130,354
159,533
193,306
272,132
 Belarus ( 9.31)
60,530
82,336
106,586
136,613
173,363
217,816
329,684
 Bosnia and Herzegovina (3.82)
16,638
23,296
27,830
32,919
38,551
44,700
57,621
 Bulgaria (7.20)
51,551
64,948
78,249
93,341
110,242
128,909
169,005
 China (138.40)
11,211,928
16,157,105
21,499,182
28,324,624
36,947,203
47,716,169
76,309,156
 Croatia (4.27)
48,874
61,290
70,698
80,744
91,304
102,220
122,847
 Cyprus (0.86)
19,812
24,513
28,207
32,135
36,250
40,484
48,417
 Czech Republic (10.54)
180,789
203,244
241,338
283,738
330,281
380,642
484,761
 Estonia (1.31)
23,113
32,408
39,444
47,534
56,715
66,997
89,644
 Georgia (3.72)
13,758
20,823
26,483
33,347
41,574
51,317
74,969
 Greece (10.82)
207,148
275,130
313,754
354,260
396,033
438,337
514,877
 Hungary ((9.85)
126,691
165,376
192,591
222,070
253,521
286,553
351,021
 Italy (60.79)
1,842,835
2,172,828
2,517,911
2,888,943
3,281,807
3,691,080
4,476,903
 Japan (126.89)
4,210,363
4,933,497
5,609,672
6,315,442
7,039,558
7,768,794
9,072,208
 Kazakhstan (17.50)
203,140
290,635
370,357
467,281
583,727
721,951
1,058,883
 Kosovo (1.83)
6,466
8,899
11,117
13,749
16,837
20,414
28,774
 Kyrgyzstan (5.92)
7,368
10,892
13,840
17,413
21,689
26,748
39,006
 Latvia (1.98)
28,362
39,749
47,993
57,373
67,907
79,577
104,779
Lithuania (2.90)
42,642
60,382
73,145
87,727
104,175
122,477
162,327
 Macedonia (2.07)
10,147
14,579
17,497
20,793
24,464
28,499
37,079
 Malta (0.43)
9,508
12,305
14,435
16,765
19,279
21,951
27,283
 Moldova (3.56)
6,140
9,191
11,505
14,258
17,496
21,255
30,080
 Mongolia (3.02)
12,455
18,057
26,640
38,915
56,282
80,593
158,444
 Montenegro (0.62)
4,239
5,467
6,470
7,582
8,796
10,103
12,782
 Poland (38.50)
491,239
672,857
810,891
967,578
1,143,102
1,337,058
1,753,979
 Portugal (10.50)
201,036
242,192
275,531
310,357
346,123
382,177
446,762
 Romania (19.95)
189,747
270,460
321,332
377,995
440,247
507,659
647,243
 Russia (146.27)
2,381.192
3,247.634
3,910.134
4,661.223
5,501.530
6,428.854
8,417.379
 Serbia (7.14)
40,665
57,191
68,997
82,417
97,472
114,132
150,041
 Slovakia (5.42)
87,528
116,157
140,540
168,361
199,691
234,499
310,061
 Slovenia (2.07)
43,021
52,865
61,182
70,106
79,537
89,339
108,078
 Tajikistan (8.36)
8,533
12,785
16,995
22,366
29,145
37,600
60,006
 Turkey (77.80)
752,510
1,011,638
1,280,069
1,603,707
1,989,263
2,443,013
3,532,939
 Turkmenistan (4.76)
44,663
84,740
118,983
165,409
227,673
310,264
552,474
 Ukraine (42.87)
85,440
134,731
165,584
201,490
242,753
289,561
395,036
 United Kingdom (64.80)
2,853,357
3,730,583
4,399,293
5,136,566
5,937,971
6,796,257
8,536,434
 United States (322.20)
18,124,731
22,488,616
26,591,660
31,132,357
36,087,246
41,415,421
52,302,423
 Uzbekistan (31.00)
68,190
113,287
148,972
193,963
250,036
319,122
498,431



Yellow: = Former Soviet Republics
Green: = Former Yugoslav Republics
Sky Blue: = Former Eastern European Communist Countries now in the EU.

The economies of countries from the former Soviet Union (USSR) are projected to be better performing than those of former Eastern European countries and countries from the ex-Yugoslavia, apparently because they did not allow the complete destruction of their industrial bases or because they reversed the deindustrialization of the 1990s.   



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